IMD sees Bay low deepening as monsoon exits Rajasthan
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IMD sees Bay low deepening as monsoon exits Rajasthan

The Hindu BusinessLine··5d ago

India's 2026 monsoon has begun retreating from north-west India about two days later than normal, BusinessLine reported. National rainfall was 15 percent below normal as of Saturday, with the South Peninsula 28 percent short. The IMD expects a Bay low to become a depression by Monday and possibly a deep depression by Tuesday near the south Odisha-north Andhra coast.

Prism

What It Means For You

  • Heavy to very heavy rain is forecast over Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam from Tuesday.
  • Telangana may also see very heavy rain from Tuesday.
  • Late rain could affect standing soybean, pulses, maize, cotton and some oilseeds.

What's Happening

  • The parent pulse settled over the North Andaman Sea and east-central Bay after arriving from Thailand on Friday.
  • The intensified low is expected to move west-northwest toward west-central and north-west Bay by Wednesday.
  • IMD has not specified a landfall location or further intensification beyond deep depression.

Why Farmers Are Watching September

  • Sowing had recovered to near-normal levels by late August.
  • The RBI Monetary Policy Committee meets October 5-7, before September CPI arrives on October 12.
  • Warm El Niño conditions over the eastern Pacific are linked to the southern rainfall shortfall.
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