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Sam Altman Admits He Misjudged AI Adoption
Analytics India Mag··24 Aug
OpenAI chief executive Sam Altman said he underestimated how slowly businesses would adopt AI after GPT-4 launched in 2023, expecting much faster disruption than has occurred. Speaking on a podcast, Altman said the economy has significant inertia, since companies must navigate budgets, compliance and existing workflows before reorganising around new capabilities. He called the slower pace a stabilising factor.
Prism
What It Means For You
- Workers and businesses relying on predictions of rapid AI disruption may have more time to adapt than expected.
- Investors weighing AI-driven business risk get a signal from the industry's own leadership that change is coming more slowly.
- Job seekers worried about immediate AI displacement can take some reassurance from this acknowledged gap between capability and adoption.
What's Happening
- Sam Altman said he expected much faster business disruption after GPT-4's 2023 release than has actually occurred.
- He said the economy has significant inertia because organisations must navigate budgets, compliance and existing workflows.
- He called the resulting slower pace a stabilising factor that gives society more time to adjust.
How Altman's Own Timelines Have Shifted
- In January 2025, Altman said OpenAI was confident it knew how to build AGI as traditionally understood.
- By mid-2025, he outlined a year-by-year schedule predicting agents doing cognitive work in 2025 and novel insights in 2026.
- His own AGI forecast has since slipped to 2030, according to recent reporting on his public statements.
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