Fed's Cook flags AI inflation as top 2027 risk
Technology

Fed's Cook flags AI inflation as top 2027 risk

Livemint··2 Oct

Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said Thursday she sees AI and its inflationary push as a top risk for 2027. Cook told New York Fed President John Williams that supply shocks have had surprisingly persistent effects. She joined a unanimous vote last month to raise the policy rate by a quarter point. Inflation was 3.4 percent in August.

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What It Means For You

  • Borrowers and businesses may face tighter Fed policy if AI-driven bottlenecks keep inflation elevated into 2027.
  • Workers in sectors tied to AI infrastructure may see hiring and wages move with the build-out Cook described.
  • Consumers watching mortgage and loan rates may track whether the Fed treats supply shocks differently than before.

What's Happening

  • Cook said she believes AI will boost productivity in the longer term but worries when disinflation from those gains will arrive.
  • Geopolitical conflict in the Middle East could also crimp supply chains, she said.
  • Cook said the optimal monetary response may differ depending on which sectors a supply shock hits.

Inflation Backdrop

  • Cook voted to support a timelier return of inflation to the Fed's 2 percent goal.
  • She said the AI build-out may create inflationary pressures that do not resolve quickly.
  • Reporting was by Ann Saphir with editing by Daniel Wallis.
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