Environment
IMD sees Bay cyclone by Monday near Andhra-Odisha coast
The Hindu BusinessLine·
IMD said a Bay of Bengal low could become a cyclonic storm by Monday morning over the west-central Bay. It is expected to intensify into a deep depression by Sunday, then move toward north Andhra Pradesh and adjoining south Odisha. Tamil Nadu recorded 109.3 percent surplus rain during October 15-21. Coastal Karnataka posted an 83 percent surplus that week.
Prism
What It Means For You
- IMD expects normal to above-normal rain over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal from October 22 to November 4.
- A separate Arabian Sea low off south Kerala could interact with the Bay system, models suggest.
- Global models cited in the report put the Bay system at least at severe cyclonic storm intensity.
What's Happening
- The parent low emerged over the south-east and adjoining east-central Bay on Friday morning.
- IMD sees deep depression by Sunday and cyclonic storm status by Monday morning.
- ECMWF had suggested the Arabian Sea and Bay systems could feed each other and push rain along both coasts.
October monsoon turnaround figures
- From October 1-21 Tamil Nadu was already 23 percent above normal before the bigger October 15-21 surge.
- South Interior Karnataka flipped from a 39 percent deficit to a 58 percent surplus between those windows.
- Lakshadweep's deficit widened from 31 percent to 72 percent over the same comparison.
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